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The key is to make data driven decisions, which means balancing analysis, synthesis and data.
I should've added a footnote, but I agree. You can basically make your measurements as complex as you want, but there's some point of diminishing returns.
You could, for example, measure the effects of the ads on the growth of your userbase and then make some sort of "net present value" calculation.
Really all you need is enough data to make an informed decision — some data is better than none.